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Showing posts with label ForexNews. Show all posts
Showing posts with label ForexNews. Show all posts
By: Barbara Zigah The Japanese Yen continues to broadly decline following last month’s devastating earthquake and tsunami in Japan, and with the concerted efforts of the G7 to keep the Japanese currency from appreciating during this reconstruction period. In Asian trading, the Yen struck an 11-month low against the common currency Euro, and a 2½ year trough against the Australian Dollar. Versus the U.S. Dollar, the Yen fell to a 6-month low. Most market players expect a prolonged period of weakness in the Yen, not only because of the G7 interventions but because the Bank of Japan is now likely to be among the last of the central banks to consider raising interest rates.

As reported at 3:20 p.m. (JST) in Tokyo, the Yen fell against the Euro to 121.91 Yen on the EBS trading platform, an 11-month low. Against the Aussie, the Yen slipped 0.7%, trading at 88.27 Yen, while against the greenback the Yen slipped 0.5% to 83.50 Yen.

Beginning today through tomorrow, officials from the Bank of Japan will be meeting to discuss policy in the wake of the crisis. Most analysts expect that they will signal their willingness for further easing measures, if necessary. 

http://www.dailyforex.com/forex-news/2011/04/Yen-Continues-to-Slip-Broadly-Lower-Under-G7-Manipulation/7620

Absence of Bad News Sends Yen Lower

Posted by admin On 10:50 AM 0 comments
By: Barbara Zigah  

The U.S. Dollar rose against the Japanese Yen in Tokyo trading today as pension fund operators in Japan, as well as Japanese importers, bought the greenback heavily.  As reported at 3:04 p.m. (JST) in Tokyo, the U.S. Dollar was trading against the Yen at 84.04 Yen, up from the 83.59 Yen in New York trading late Tuesday.  Earlier in the session, the Dollar had slipped close to the 200-month moving average of 83.50 Yen.  The Euro was also higher against the Yen, trading at 121.67 Yen on the EBS trading platform, up from the 120.98 Yen trade late in New York yesterday.

The Japanese Yen had been sent soaring in yesterday’s trade as safe haven investors pushed the currency higher following the announcement by the Japan Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency that they had raised the threat rating of the Fukushima nuclear plant accident to a level equivalent to that of Chernobyl. 

Today’s absence of bad news, generally, is apparently driving risk appetite higher, sending the Yen lower again.   Most analysts agree that the USD/JPY will  be testing the upside for the near term. 

Later today, focus should shift to the U.S. where retail sales data is expected to be released; further on in the global day, the U.S. Federal Reserve’s Beige Book update will also be released, providing a behind-the-scenes indication of the U.S. economy’s direction.  The U.S. Dollar Index, a gauge of the greenback’s value versus other major currencies, was recently at 79.906 .DXY, up from 74.863 .DXY.

 
http://www.dailyforex.com/forex-news/2011/04/Absence-of-Bad-News-Sends-Yen-Lower/7677

By: Barbara Zigah Following the Reserve Bank of Australia’s announcement that their policy and rate setting committee decided to hold key interest rates at 4.75%, the Australian Dollar slipped against the U.S. Dollar; as reported at 2:58 p.m. (JST) in Tokyo, the Aussie dropped to $1.0329, a 0.3% decline. With inflationary pressure not quite the problem in Australia as it is elsewhere in the world, the RBA’s decision ha been widely expected by a consensus of economists.

Elsewhere, the Euro held steady just below a 5-month peak versus the U.S. Dollar, as investors reassess their positions ahead of the ECB policy setting meeting to be held later this week. Most analysts expect that the European Central Bank will hike the current rate by 25 basis points to 1.25% in an attempt to stave off inflationary pressures in the Eurozone, driven primarily by higher commodity prices. Analysts are expecting that before year’s en, the ECB will have raised their benchmark rate to 1.75%. So far this year, the Euro has gained better than 6% against the greenback. Earlier, the Euro was trading against the U.S. Dollar at $1.4192. Further gains in the Euro are likely to be limited, given that rate hikes are already factored in.

http://www.dailyforex.com/forex-news/2011/04/Aussie-Dollar-Slips-Following-RBA-Rate-Decision/7613
By: Sara Patterson It’s been a month since the major earthquake that shook Japan, but a recent, smaller earthquake is causing the Yen to strengthen further. The currency was at 120.81 per Euro, up 1.1% from 122.12 in New York at the close of yesterday’s trading day. This is the Yen’s biggest daily gain since March 16. In JPY-USD trading, the Yen increased to 83.88 per dollar, up from 84.60. The US dollar also climbed yesterday, from $1.4436 to $1.44 per Euro.

In light of the recent disasters in Japan, the International Monetary Fund reduced its forecast for Japanese growth from 1.6 to 1.4. This behavior is typical for the Japanese currency during times of disaster. The IMF’s forecast for 2012 was raised from 1.8 percent to 2.1 percent.

http://www.dailyforex.com/forex-news/2011/04/Dollar-and-Yen-Strengthen-After-New-Earthquakes-Hit/7667

As ECB Meeting Looms, Euro Falls

Posted by admin On 10:50 AM 0 comments
By: Barbara Zigah Ahead of the European Central Bank’s policy and rate setting meeting which is set to begin later in the global day, the common currency fell from multi-month peaks against the Japanese Yen and the U.S. Dollar. The ECB has strongly hinted that an interest rate increase would be forthcoming, but now investors are pondering exactly how much of one might be under consideration. Most analysts expect an increase of 25 basis points for this, the first ECB rate hike in nearly three years. There is some speculation that by November the rate could be as much as 100 basis points higher, which the market already appears to be pricing in.

While the interest rate hike is not yet a done deal, many economists are suggesting that given the fiscal state of several of the Eurozone nations, i.e. Portugal, Spain, Greece, etc., an interest rate hike will be more harmful than good.

As reported at 2:57 p.m. (JST) in Tokyo, the Euro slipped against the U.S. Dollar, trading at $1.4297 following yesterday’s surge to $1.4350. Near term support is pegged around $1.4285 to $1.4250; some currency strategists say that if the Euro can’t rise well above $1.4282, it could retreat to near $1.4160. Against the Yen, the Euro was trading at121.77 Yen following yesterday’s 11-month peak. Most analysts agree that the long-term outlook for the Yen is on a downtrend.

http://www.dailyforex.com/forex-news/2011/04/As-ECB-Meeting-Looms-Euro-Falls/7631
By: Barbara Zigah The U.S. Dollar Index slipped to a new 16-month low in Asian trading today as investor speculation that the U.S. Federal Reserve Bank might alter its currently loose monetary policy grows more remote. The U.S. Dollar Index, which gauges the greenback’s strength versus a weighted basket of major currencies slipped to 74.676 .DXY, a year to date loss of nearly 5%. Yesterday’s publication of the Federal Reserve Beige Book essentially confirmed the Fed’s view on inflation as temporary, with little to no likelihood that QE3 was in the making.

The common currency Euro, on the other hand, is approaching highs against the U.S. Dollar, as investors speculate that the ECB will continue to tighten monetary policy following the recently implemented interest rate hike. As reported at 2:58 p.m. (JST) in Tokyo, the Euro gained nearly 0.5% to trade at $1.4508, close to the 15-month peak of $1.4521. The U.S. Dollar also fell lower against the Japanese Yen, trading at one point at 83.20 Yen on the EBS trading platform, and well off the 6½ month peak of 85.55 Yen struck last week. One FX strategist in London pointed out that the U.S. Dollar has no new factors on which to rise, since it appears obvious that the Federal Reserve is not going to change its current stance anytime soon, given lingering high unemployment.

http://www.dailyforex.com/forex-news/2011/04/U.S.-Dollar-Index-Strikes-16-Month-Trough-in-Asia/7684
By: Barbara Zigah With a meeting of the European Central Bank’s policy setting committee looming later in the week, the common currency struck new multi-month peaks in Asian trading today. As reported at 2:34 p.m. (JST) in Tokyo, the Euro was trading against the Japanese Yen at one point as high as 120.00 Yen, a price not seen since May 2010, before slipping back to 119.65 Yen.

Against the U.S. Dollar, the Yen was trading at $1.4269 on the EBS trading platform, a 5-month peak. Most traders expect the Euro to continue to gain broadly until the meeting takes place as speculation becomes reality.

Market Fluctuations

In spite of repatriation inflows, the Japanese Yen remains under downward pressure as the coordinated efforts of the G7 continue, and from growing speculation that the Japanese central bank may downgrade the country’s economic assessment later in the week. The U.S. Dollar gained slightly against the Yen, trading up 0.1% to 84.11 Yen; on Friday, the greenback struck a 6-month peak of 84.735 Yen on the EBS trading platform.

Most analysts see the Dollar’s rise to be limited, and possibly reversing, as the Federal Reserve’s controversial quantitative easing program draws to a close. Some analysts note that the Fed’s stance has become more hawkish in recent days, but one key Fed board member refuted those claims noting that a change to current policy is very far away.

http://www.dailyforex.com/forex-news/2011/04/Euro-Striking-New-Multi-Month-Highs-as-ECB-Meeting-Looms/7602

By: Barbara Zigah The Japanese Yen slipped lower against the common currency and the Australian Dollar in Asian trading today, and analysts expect further weakening as risk appetite increases, generally.  As reported at 2:52 p.m. (JST) in Tokyo at one point in the session on the EBS trading platform the Euro traded against the Yen at 123.33 Yen, a 16% gain from the mid-March trough of 106.50 Yen, before trimming gains to 122.62 Yen.   The Australian Dollar also struck a 2 ½ year  high against the Yen, when it struck 90.04 Yen earlier in the session; later, some of the gains were pared when it traded at 89.64 Yen still higher by 0.1%.

According to analysts, the Japanese central bank is likely to lag behind other countries’ central banks in order to give their nation a chance to recover from the tragic earthquake and tsunami which struck last month.  The Japanese economy had been in a long period of stagflation, and most analysts agree that this event will likely shift the economy’s direction.  The Japanese Yen had been a consistently strong currency prior to the earthquake, and repatriated flows endanger its resumption.  The G7 has been collectively and successfully working to suppress the Yen’s rise.
http://www.dailyforex.com/forex-news/2011/04/Japanese-Yen-Continues-Downtrend-with-G7-Intervention/7649

By: Barbara Zigah A day after a second earthquake struck the beleaguered island nation, the Japanese Yen fell broadly, striking multi-month lows against the U.S. Dollar and the common currency Euro. As reported at 1:22 p.m. (JST) in Tokyo, the Yen slipped against the U.S. Dollar to 85.140 Yen, a 0.3% decline and close to the 6-month low struck earlier in the week. The Yen also fell against the Euro, trading at 122.47 Yen, a decline of 0.7%, off from the 11-month low of 122.630 Yen hit on the EBS trading platform. As desired by the Bank of Japan, the Yen appears on the verge of weakening further says one forex head in Singapore.

The Euro is being buoyed by yesterday’s announcement of an ECB rate hike of 25 basis points. Against the U.S. Dollar the Euro struck a 15-month peak, trading at one point to a high of $1.4405. Investors had been keen to hear the press conference held afterward by Jean-Claude Trichet, the ECB President, but the bank’s direction remains somewhat unclear with the Bank in wait-and-see mode. Some economists are expecting that the ECB will hold the rate in check through July, when rising inflation will likely prompt another hike.

http://www.dailyforex.com/forex-news/2011/04/Yen-Slips-Further-while-Euro-Buoyed-by-Rate-Hike/7644
By: Barbara Zigah According to some analysts, the divergence of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy from that of the European Central Bank’s is what is driving the disparity between the U.S. Dollar and the common currency Euro. The Euro’s appreciation against the greenback appears proof of that theory, with the common currency hovering close to a 15-month high against the U.S. Dollar in Asian trading today.

As reported at 2:46 p.m. (JST) in Tokyo, the Euro is trading against the greenback at $1.4472, edging back 0.1% from late Thursday trading in New York but still within striking distance of the $1.4521 peak struck earlier in the week. Most market players don’t believe the Euro will face difficulty rising above $1.45, especially given the Eurozone’s debt problems and with Irelands’ credit rating being downgraded earlier today.

Recent rhetoric from several Federal Reserve officials has increased investor speculation that the central bank’s ultra loose monetary policy is likely to remain as such for an extended length of time. Collectively, the position of the Fed is that inflation – and the subsequent hikes in the prices of commodities – remains transitory and manageable by the current policy. The European Central Bank, conversely, continues to closely watch inflationary pressures and acknowledges that it is ready to move again with additional interest rate hikes if the situation warrants. 

http://www.dailyforex.com/forex-news/2011/04/Ireland-Downgrade-Only-Marginally-Affects-Euro/7698

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